Topspin Shot Research

Tennis Analytics Beyond the Statistics

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Articles and Videos

Topspin Shot Research in Tennisplayer Magazine and the USPTA Eastern Webinar Series

I published an article on playing the net in Tennisplayer Magazine (subscriber only) and presented in a USPTA Coaches Webinar. You can view them here!

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Series 3, Part 2: Wimbledon Men’s Final 2016, Serial Correlation

Insight: Serial correlation is defined as patterns in the sequence of serve directions in a point game. Servers and returners can use such patterns to their advantage.

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Series 3, Part 1: Wimbledon Men’s Final 2016, Win Probabilities

Insight: To compare win probabilities across serve directions, the Pearson chi-squared statistical test is ideal. However, the more statistical tests you perform, the greater your odds of getting a false positive test result.

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Series 3, Intro: Wimbledon Men’s Final 2016, Serve Strategies

Insight: This series provides a blueprint for analyzing serve strategies, covering both serve direction win probabilities and serial correlation across successive serve directions.

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Series 2, Part 2: US Open Women’s Final 2014, Serves and Returns

Insight: When returning Williams's serve, Wozniacki should have positioned herself closer to the T. In addition, her most effective returns were those hit down the middle.

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Series 2, Part 1: US Open Women’s Final 2014, Winning the Rallies

Insight: Despite a lower win probability when playing from behind the baseline, Wozniacki should not have changed her court position. But she should have hit fewer backhands down the line.

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Series 2, Intro: US Open Women’s Final 2014, Causal Inference and Strategy

Insight: Causal inference can help uncover which tactics are effective. But it's important not to test too many hypotheses.

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About Me

Jeremy Rosen

Georgetown University Economics PhD Candidate,
RSPA Elite Professional Coach

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